"Cash is dead, the central bank digital currency is coming." The line circulates as if obvious. The actual 2026 numbers are far more modest: only a handful of countries have truly launched a CBDC, the digital euro does not yet exist, and "exploring" is not "deploying." Here is the exact state of play.
Three real launches, all in small economies, and with weak adoption even where the CBDC exists. This is a long way from the global shift the word "CBDC" conjures in the imagination.
The digital yuan (e-CNY) remains the world's largest CBDC pilot: by the end of 2025 it had processed more than 3.4 billion transactions worth about 16.7 trillion yuan. But it is still a PILOT, not a completed national rollout — and in January 2026, China's central bank reclassified the e-CNY as "deposit liabilities," a shift away from its original function as "digital cash."
In the euro area, nothing is launched. The digital euro's pilot phase is set to run for 12 months starting in the second half of 2027; a first issuance is only envisaged in 2029, and only if legislation is adopted. The ECB had received over 50 applications from payment providers for its pilot by March 2026. In other words: a project in preparation, with a distant timeline and political decisions still to come.
146 countries and currency unions, representing over 98% of global GDP, are exploring a CBDC; 77 are in the advanced phase (development, pilot or launch) and 41 pilots are under way. The subject is thus massive and global — but "exploring" or "piloting" is not "launching." The research is real; widespread deployment is not.
So the honest question is not "when will cash disappear" — no credible timeline foresees it. It is "what level of privacy the digital euro will have, if it ever comes." That is where the real power stakes lie — in the design, not in an abolition of cash that is neither decided nor scheduled.
Dossier : Monnaie & identité numérique : l'architecture du contrôle
TOME 2: L'Architecture du Contrôle
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